"이낙연 39.9% 김부겸 21.8% 박주민 15.7%"

윈지코리아 초반 판세 여론조사

더불어민주당 당대표 후보 초반 지지도

[윈지코리아컨설팅 제공]

(서울=연합뉴스) 이유미 기자 = 더불어민주당 차기 당 대표를 뽑는 8·29 전당대회 초반 판세에서 이낙연 후보가 가장 앞선다는 여론조사 결과가 31일 나왔다.

윈지코리아컨설팅이 지난 29∼30일 전국 만 18세 이상 성인 1천150명을 대상으로 당 대표 후보 지지도를 조사(표본 오차는 95% 신뢰수준에 ±3.1%포인트)한 결과, 응답자의 39.9%가 이 후보를 꼽았고, 김부겸 후보 21.8%, 박주민 후보 15.7% 순이었다.

지지하는 후보가 없거나 잘 모르겠다고 한 응답자는 22.6%였다.

민주당 지지층의 지지도는 이 후보 57.4%, 박 후보 18.0%, 김 후보 17.1% 순으로 나타났다. 권리당원에서도 이 후보 51.5%, 박 후보 22.7%, 김 후보 19.9% 순으로 비슷한 흐름을 보였다.

윈지코리아는 "민주당 지지층에서 이낙연 쏠림 현상이 좀 더 두드러지고 오차범위 이내에서 박 후보와 김 후보의 순위가 바뀌었다"고 밝혔다.

다만 "선거 초반이고 전체 투표의 45%를 차지하는 대의원이 조사에 반영되지 않은 점을 고려할 때 향후 대의원 표심에 따라 판세가 출렁일 수 있다"고 덧붙였다.

1인 2표를 행사하는 최고위원의 경우 전체 응답자들의 1·2순위 후보 지지도를 합산한 결과 김종민 후보가 26.7%로 가장 높고, 노웅래 후보 18.9%, 양향자 후보 13.8%, 염태영 후보 8.5% 순으로 나타났다.

민주당 지지층에서는 김 후보 35.6%, 노 후보 21.0%, 양 후보 17.4%, 그 외 후보는 10% 이하였다. '없음 또는 잘 모름'도 절반 이상을 차지했다.

윈지코리아는 "최고위원 초반 판세는 인지도 높은 후보가 앞서가는 것으로 나타났으나, 과반이 넘는 부동층 마음을 누가 잡느냐에 따라 변화 가능성이 있다"고 분석했다.

yumi@yna.co.kr

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